Saturday, July 6, 2019

AKM_39



Politics works on the #Perception so the victory and defeat in election.
With the loss of three states in assembly elections #BJP and #Primeminister is on the backfoot. Moreover the resignation from #RBI #Governor Mr Urjit Patel make it worser for the ruling party.
With the overwhelming response in 2014 Loksabha #elections perception of country was very much aligned toward BJP and more on #Modi. It remains consistent till the first quarter of 2017 i.e. post demonitization and UP elections.
It's not like that everything was in the favour of government, some issues like Ghar wapasi, Love Jehaad, intolerance was raised with full capacity by opposition and even more by the so called intellect class of country. Still the common perception was in the favour of Modi. Reason is obvious that issues were less real not affecting the common people at mass. Moreover BJP was on its rising edge with continuous victories however defeat in Bihar and Delhi dented BJP image but this was not visible Since the winning part is larger.
After #Yogi as CM of UP , dents become little visible because of violence from so called "Gaurakshaks", mob lynching at few places. Still the voters who made BJP in power are with the government more or less resulting victory in North East also.
Now with the second half of 2018 seems like country's perception took the sharp turn. Reasons was again obvious and yes this time affecting the mass, why ?
The more obvious answer is perception. This time opposition, media and some incidents made it happen against goverment.
Inflation, Dassault Rafale, weakening of institutions (Supreme court, CBI, RBI ), correct projection of all this by opposition make this turn, Results defeat in 3 states.
Now is this turn in public's opinion is correct or its just perception with not looking both sides of coin.
Choice is always yours.
Still most of us in world's largest democracy used to look in a single direction let's try to visualise big picture.
About RBI governor's resignation Critics version is this, since government has nothing Big to show case for 2019 elections so government wants a big part out from Central bank's cash reserve for some govt scheme. Governer refused to do so as this reserve is for country in emergancy situations. Since govt has special power in constitution to rule over central bank decision that's why governer finds resignation as an easy way out to gave country and govt a strong message.
Ruling party and finance ministers version about it is that central bank has excessive reserve i.e. more than required so govt want to make a expert committee and make a discussion on how much amount is really required in reserve. he said since the most of the industrial sector facing liquidity stress which in turns creating a kind of standstill situation with stop of cash flow. So to pump the cash govt looking toward RBI's reserve. Also For this crisis finance minister blames #UPA govt, back in 2008 after lehman brother crisis, when world's economy fell down in a recession. At that time strange policies of UPA by giving excessive loan to projects/businesses which are not sustainable converted into NPAs ( non performing assets).
Now as far as #Rafale fighter plane is concerned their are two part in it. First one is the price, opposition blaming the govt why the raffle cost become almost thrice to the price at which we are about to make the deal when we are in power. Govt easy reaction to it is that earlier prices was without weaponry.
second part is why the contract is given to Anil Ambani's company having no prior experience in defence and aviation manyfacturing. Govt has no satisfactory reply on this. Clearly depicts the Chrony capitalism. Opposition and media should raise the second part with more focus since their is no public bidding has been done for indian partner by dassault.
One positive aspect out in all this is strength in opposition and media , which are mandatory two out of four pillars of #democracy. Negative aspect is the attitude of ruling party which definately emerge out as habit for upcoming #governments in future india.
A common perception may or may not be complete truth but definitely it's not completely false.

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